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Borac Banja Luka in this UEFA Europa Conference League (UECL) league phase round 6 clash at Gradski stadion Banja Luka early Friday morning Beijing time. This is the last round of play! UECL is the third-best of UEFA's three club competitions. The visitors are a Cypriot team, the hosts come from Bosnia and Herzegovina. A match of somewhat average quality by this league's standards is on the cards here.. Banja Luka have taken a fine 41 points in 17 games, losing only two matches in their domestic league, WWIN Liga BIH. Their score difference is excellent – 35:8 to be precise. The eight goals conceded is - together with Zrinjski - the smallest number in this league! The situation going into this match is very interesting.. Borac Banja Luka are very close to becoming the first club from Bosnia and Herzegovina to advance to the Playoffs of a UEFA club competition.. All the hosts need to do is avoid losing this game! The probability of a draw is much bigger than in a "normal" football game. The probability is, in my expert opinion, around 50%. For Omonia one point might not be enough, but with a big probability it will be? Seven points will most likely be enough if the score difference is not bad.. Indeed, if several teams have the same number of points, goal difference is the deciding factor. Omonia have taken six points and have a score difference of 7:7. There are five teams with four points, but with a weak goal difference.. Astana -4 , HJK Helsinki -5 , St. Gallen -8 and Noah -8. Furthermore, Mlada Boleslav and Molde lock horns today so just one of them could topple Omonia..Indeed, this means three teams left - Hearts (play against Petrocub), Basaksehir (challenging away match against Cercle Brugge) - Celje faces TNS from Wales at home.. In conclusion, if all four win - Mlada Boleslav or Molde, Hearts, Basaksehir and Celje – a draw will not be enough for Omonia.. However, if even one of the four teams listed above drop points, then a draw is all Omonia need.. I expect a cagey game here – at least in the first half.. Omonia will, of course, be aware of the score in the four other games.. If it seems they really need to win to qualify they will of course take big risks but even in this situation the draw could well happen as Banja Luka will defend hard.. We will take the Banja Luka +0.5 goals handicap option here!
Banja Luka have won a great seven of their last nine matches! At home they have won six of their last eight matches. They have loud and loyal fans who offer a big boost to the players! In their last game they beat Sloboda 3-2 on the road, recording many more shots on goal than the hosts – 10-2 to be precise. The hosts' Delimdjac was sent off in the 53rd minute, when the score was 1-2, though. In round 5 of the UECL Banja Luka were, in all honesty, disappointing - far from their best.. Indeed, they lost to Shamrock Rovers 0-3 in Ireland. The hosts played better than usual and deserved the three points. However, the final score is somewhat misleading. The hosts recorded only three more goal attempts – 9-6. Before this Banja Luka lost to Zrinjski 1-2, the current leaders of the WWIN League, 0-1 at home and were not at their best.. However, both teams had eight goal attempts and either team could easily have won the game.. On the 8th of this month Banja Luka easily beat GOSK Gabela 2-0 away from home, allowing the hosts just two shots on target. On the 1st of this month Banja Luka crushed Sloga Doboj 4-0 at home, allowing the visitors just two goal attempts and one shot on target! In round 4 of the UECL Banja Luka defeated a much bigger Austrian team, LASK, 2-1 at home as underdogs. The LASK's Siebenhandl was sent off in the first half though. The hosts dominated the events on the pitch, recording 16 more goal attempts and six more shots on target than the Austrians. LASK generated only 0.38 in expected goals (xG). Before this Banja Luka beat Sloga Doboj 2-0 very easily on the road. The hosts were able to do hardly anything offensively! The hosts' S. Milosevic was sent off in the fifth minute though.. Even taking the red card into account, Banja Luka's performance was very strong. Omania are in 4th place in the Cyprus League and are having a somewhat mediocre season. Yes, they are the better team in terms of pure class but not by a big margin.. They have lost 3/5 their games in the UECL. They have taken a win in four of their last nine games, winning 4/9. In their most recent match they lost to Achnas 0-1 on the road as very clear favourites – priced around 1.55 to win by the bookmakers. Omonia very disappointing as a whole - the hosts even recorded more goal attempts and shots off goal. Omonia had two more shots on target though. Before this they beat an Austrian team, SK Rapid, 3-1 at home but the visitors recorded many more goal attempts – 19-11. Both teams generated 1.46 in xG .Indeed, the final score flatters the team from the island of Cyprus..
Thanks to all my fans and GOOD LUCK!
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巴尼亞盧卡隊(duì)VS尼科西亞隊(duì)
北京時(shí)間周五凌晨,巴尼亞盧卡隊(duì)將在格拉茨基球場(chǎng)進(jìn)行歐聯(lián)杯聯(lián)賽第6輪比賽。這是最后一輪比賽了!歐冠聯(lián)賽是歐足聯(lián)三大俱樂(lè)部賽事中排名第三的??完?duì)是一支塞浦路斯球隊(duì),主隊(duì)來(lái)自波斯尼亞和黑塞哥維那。按照這個(gè)聯(lián)盟的標(biāo)準(zhǔn),一場(chǎng)質(zhì)量一般的比賽是有可能的。巴尼亞盧卡在17場(chǎng)比賽中拿到了41分,在他們的國(guó)內(nèi)聯(lián)賽WWIN Liga BIH中只輸了兩場(chǎng)比賽。他們的比分差距很大,確切地說(shuō)是35:8。8個(gè)失球——加上茲林斯基——是聯(lián)賽中丟球最少的!進(jìn)入這場(chǎng)比賽的形勢(shì)非常有趣。巴尼亞盧卡非常接近成為波斯尼亞和黑塞哥維那第一個(gè)進(jìn)入歐足聯(lián)俱樂(lè)部比賽季后賽的俱樂(lè)部。東道主所要做的就是避免輸?shù)暨@場(chǎng)比賽!平局的可能性比“正常”的足球比賽要大得多。在我的專家看來(lái),這種可能性在50%左右。對(duì)Omonia來(lái)說(shuō),一分可能還不夠,但很有可能會(huì)足夠。如果分?jǐn)?shù)差不太大的話,七分很可能就足夠了。事實(shí)上,如果幾支球隊(duì)得分相同,凈勝球就是決定性因素。Omonia已經(jīng)得了6分,目前的比分差距是7:7。有五支球隊(duì)得4分,但凈勝球差很小。阿斯塔納-4,赫爾辛基HJK -5,圣加侖-8和諾亞-8。此外,Mlada Boleslav和Molde今天發(fā)生了爭(zhēng)執(zhí),所以只要其中一個(gè)就能推翻Omonia…事實(shí)上,這意味著剩下三支球隊(duì)——哈茲(對(duì)陣Petrocub),巴薩塞希爾(挑戰(zhàn)客場(chǎng)對(duì)陣布魯日Cercle),切萊耶在主場(chǎng)迎戰(zhàn)威爾士的TNS??傊?,如果四人全部獲勝——姆拉達(dá)·博爾斯拉夫或莫爾德、哈茲、巴薩克謝希爾和切列——一場(chǎng)平局對(duì)Omonia來(lái)說(shuō)是不夠的。然而,如果上面列出的四支球隊(duì)中有一支丟分,那么Omonia只需要平局。我希望這是一場(chǎng)謹(jǐn)慎的比賽——至少在上半場(chǎng)。當(dāng)然,Omonia會(huì)知道其他四場(chǎng)比賽的比分。如果他們真的需要贏得比賽才能出線,他們當(dāng)然會(huì)冒很大的風(fēng)險(xiǎn),但即使在這種情況下,巴尼亞盧卡也會(huì)努力防守,平局很可能發(fā)生。我們將采取巴尼亞盧卡+0.5進(jìn)球障礙選項(xiàng)在這里!